Considering there's only 7 billion people on the planet (and most of them couldn't afford a pencil never mind a calculator), you're overestimating the practical number of computers a bit. However, if you insist on 4,500,000 as a starting point, you have to eliminate the users (or even downloads) of... well, hundreds of other programmes, such as Dopus, XY, etc, as well as all the minor ones which comprise some form of shell-extension (the article is a tad vague, as you noted). You would also have to include any programme that has any impact on the physical desktop namespace at all, since that is a component of explorer, so theoretically something as massively-downloaded (yet not quite function-orientated) such as WindowBlinds could be counted.
And then you include, or rather exclude (as they state), the number that aren't especially used (and downloads which were uninstalled)... add in the
weirdness of piracy... (
"774,651 active users on the backs of just 14 legal user licenses")
I can't guess at the maths, but your optimistic "quarter-share" of a questionable 4,500,000 just got a whole lot more questionable.
Besides, when most people use their computers to solve
these kind of important problems, exactly how much faith in the number of power-users could even you possibly have?
